Sector baseline · Research consensus

AI displacement risk in construction & trades

Construction & Trades averages 13 out of 100 across 112 published occupations. Behind it, Energy Auditors scores 43 and Tapers scores 7, a 36 point spread. That is narrower than the 42 point gap between the most and least exposed sector overall, so Construction & Trades moves together more than most fields do.

Sector average, out of 100

112

Occupations scored

Point spread, 7 to 43

Occupation scoring 40 or above

How the sector splits

Of the 112, 0 occupations clear 70 and count as high risk, 1 sits between 40 and 69, and 111 fall below 40.

Exposure follows the tasks inside a role rather than the field it sits in, so two jobs that share a sector can still land far apart. The whole published set averages 31 across 961 occupations in 21 sectors. How scoring works

Every construction & trades occupation, most exposed first

Rank is against the full published set, not against the sector. Every occupation here is backed by at least two distinct published studies.

AI displacement risk scores for 112 construction & trades occupations
Rank	Occupation	Score	Sources
219	Energy Auditors	43	6
416	First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers	33	5
436	Construction and Building Inspectors	31	5
452	Computer, Automated Teller, and Office Machine Repairers	30	6
516	Solar Energy Installation Managers	27	5
527	Electrical and Electronics Repairers, Commercial and Industrial Equipment	26	5
566	First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers	24	5
585	Coin, Vending, and Amusement Machine Servicers and Repairers	23	6
604	Electrical and Electronics Repairers, Powerhouse, Substation, and Relay	22	5
621	Security and Fire Alarm Systems Installers	22	5
622	Solar Photovoltaic Installers	22	5
642	Medical Equipment Repairers	21	5
648	Telecommunications Equipment Installers and Repairers, Except Line Installers	21	5
652	Avionics Technicians	20	5
653	Camera and Photographic Equipment Repairers	20	5
662	Industrial Machinery Mechanics	20	9
689	Geothermal Technicians	19	6
694	Maintenance Workers, Machinery	19	5
740	Audiovisual Equipment Installers and Repairers	17	5
745	Electricians	17	10
763	Telecommunications Line Installers and Repairers	17	5
773	Electric Motor, Power Tool, and Related Repairers	16	5
783	Roof Bolters, Mining	16	5
788	Tire Repairers and Changers	16	5
792	Control and Valve Installers and Repairers, Except Mechanical Door	15	5
795	Helpers--Painters, Paperhangers, Plasterers, and Stucco Masons	15	5
796	Highway Maintenance Workers	15	5
799	Mobile Heavy Equipment Mechanics, Except Engines	15	5
807	Recreational Vehicle Service Technicians	15	5
815	Earth Drillers, Except Oil and Gas	14	5
816	Excavating and Loading Machine and Dragline Operators, Surface Mining	14	5
818	Hazardous Materials Removal Workers	14	5
820	Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers, All Other	14	3
824	Pipelayers	14	5
825	Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters	14	9
830	Riggers	14	5
831	Roustabouts, Oil and Gas	14	5
832	Sheet Metal Workers	14	5
834	Watch and Clock Repairers	14	5
836	Electrical and Electronics Installers and Repairers, Transportation Equipment	13	5
837	Farm Equipment Mechanics and Service Technicians	13	5
839	Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers	13	9
840	Home Appliance Repairers	13	5
843	Loading and Moving Machine Operators, Underground Mining	13	5
845	Millwrights	13	5
847	Musical Instrument Repairers and Tuners	13	5
850	Radio, Cellular, and Tower Equipment Installers and Repairers	13	5
851	Rail-Track Laying and Maintenance Equipment Operators	13	5
852	Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas	13	5
855	Structural Iron and Steel Workers	13	5
858	Wind Turbine Service Technicians	13	5
859	Aircraft Mechanics and Service Technicians	12	5
861	Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics	12	5
863	Bicycle Repairers	12	5
864	Continuous Mining Machine Operators	12	5
866	Electronic Equipment Installers and Repairers, Motor Vehicles	12	6
870	Helpers--Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers	12	5
871	Insulation Workers, Mechanical	12	5
874	Manufactured Building and Mobile Home Installers	12	5
877	Painters, Construction and Maintenance	12	5
881	Rock Splitters, Quarry	12	5
884	Boilermakers	11	5
885	Construction Laborers	11	10
886	Derrick Operators, Oil and Gas	11	5
889	Helpers--Extraction Workers	11	6
890	Maintenance and Repair Workers, General	11	5
892	Operating Engineers and Other Construction Equipment Operators	11	5
896	Septic Tank Servicers and Sewer Pipe Cleaners	11	5
898	Weatherization Installers and Technicians	11	3
901	Brickmasons and Blockmasons	10	5
902	Carpenters	10	9
903	Commercial Divers	10	5
905	Electrical Power-Line Installers and Repairers	10	6
906	Explosives Workers, Ordnance Handling Experts, and Blasters	10	5
907	Helpers--Carpenters	10	5
910	Pile Driver Operators	10	5
912	Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons	10	5
913	Service Unit Operators, Oil and Gas	10	5
916	Automotive Body and Related Repairers	9	5
917	Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists	9	5
919	Elevator and Escalator Installers and Repairers	9	5
920	Fence Erectors	9	5
923	Insulation Workers, Floor, Ceiling, and Wall	9	5
926	Motorcycle Mechanics	9	5
927	Outdoor Power Equipment and Other Small Engine Mechanics	9	5
928	Plasterers and Stucco Masons	9	5
929	Solar Thermal Installers and Technicians	9	5
930	Automotive Glass Installers and Repairers	8	5
933	Helpers--Electricians	8	5
936	Locksmiths and Safe Repairers	8	5
937	Mechanical Door Repairers	8	5
938	Motorboat Mechanics and Service Technicians	8	5
939	Paperhangers	8	5
940	Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators	8	5
941	Rail Car Repairers	8	5
942	Segmental Pavers	8	3
943	Signal and Track Switch Repairers	8	5
944	Terrazzo Workers and Finishers	8	5
945	Tile and Stone Setters	8	5
948	Carpet Installers	7	5
949	Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers	7	5
951	Drywall and Ceiling Tile Installers	7	5
952	Floor Layers, Except Carpet, Wood, and Hard Tiles	7	5
953	Floor Sanders and Finishers	7	5
954	Glaziers	7	5
955	Helpers--Brickmasons, Blockmasons, Stonemasons, and Tile and Marble Setters	7	5
956	Helpers--Pipelayers, Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters	7	5
957	Helpers--Roofers	7	5
958	Reinforcing Iron and Rebar Workers	7	5
959	Roofers	7	7
960	Stonemasons	7	5
961	Tapers	7	5

The evidence behind these scores

Each score aggregates published academic and industry estimates for that occupation, calibrated onto a common scale before they are combined. Across construction & trades, the thinnest occupation rests on 3 sources and the best evidenced on 10. Occupations backed by fewer than two distinct sources are not published at all, here or anywhere on the site.

See the dataset and its limits, or the full ranking in one table.

A sector average is not your score

Roles across construction & trades already run 36 points apart, and the number above is the baseline for a typical version of each one. Seniority and how routine your day is move your own score further still. Answer a few questions and get it free, no sign-up.

Get my personal score

Free · No credit card · No sign-up

Other sectors

Every sector with at least 15 published occupations has its own baseline. Compare all of them, or browse occupations grouped by sector.

Informational guidance based on published research, not professional career or financial advice. Scores update as new research is ingested.