Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers?

What this score means

First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers is among the least exposed roles in Construction & Trades. Most of what the job involves still sits outside what current AI can do, even as the tools around it keep changing. At 24 out of 100 it scores 11 points above the Construction & Trades average of 13. Across the 5 sources behind this baseline, individual estimates run from 14 to 48, so the score is a weighted consensus rather than any single figure.

The number is a consensus estimate for the typical version of the role, built from published academic and industry research scored occupation by occupation. It is not a prediction about any individual. How scoring works

What this job actually involves

Exposure follows the work itself rather than the job title, so it is worth seeing what the role is made of. These are the tasks O*NET records for First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers, most central first, showing 12 of 15.

• 01Order or requisition materials or supplies.
• 02Inspect work progress, equipment, or construction sites to verify safety or to ensure that specifications are met.
• 03Read specifications, such as blueprints, to determine construction requirements or to plan procedures.
• 04Supervise, coordinate, or schedule the activities of construction or extractive workers.
• 05Assign work to employees, based on material or worker requirements of specific jobs.
• 06Coordinate work activities with other construction project activities.
• 07Estimate material or worker requirements to complete jobs.
• 08Analyze worker or production problems and recommend solutions, such as improving production methods or implementing motivational plans.
• 09Train workers in construction methods, operation of equipment, safety procedures, or company policies.
• 10Locate, measure, and mark site locations or placement of structures or equipment, using measuring and marking equipment.
• 11Confer with managerial or technical personnel, other departments, or contractors to resolve problems or to coordinate activities.
• 12Arrange for repairs of equipment or machinery.

Task statements from O*NET by the National Center for O*NET Development, used under CC BY 4.0. The tasks are descriptive; the exposure score above is ours.

The research behind this score

This baseline aggregates 5 research sources that scored First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers for AI and automation exposure. More recent, higher confidence studies carry more weight in the final number.

• 01Anthropic Economic Index 2026 - AI Task Exposure · 2026Anthropic
• 02Global Automation Atlas: Task Substitution Exposure by Occupation · 2026Garg, Crosta, Baier (2026), arXiv:2605.17086
• 03Working with AI: Measuring the Applicability of Generative AI to Occupations · 2025Tomlinson, Jaffe et al., Microsoft Research (2025)
• 04GPTs are GPTs: Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs · 2024Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin, Rock (Science, 2024)
• 05AI Occupational Exposure to Language Modeling · 2023Felten, Raj, Seamans (2023)

Common questions

How likely is AI to replace First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers?

Published research puts First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers at 24 out of 100 for AI displacement risk, in the lower risk band. The number is a weighted consensus of 5 research sources and describes the typical version of the role, not any individual.

Do researchers agree on the risk for First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers?

Only partly. Individual estimates for First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers run from 14 to 48 out of 100 across the 5 sources behind this score, so the single number smooths over real disagreement. More recent and higher confidence studies carry more weight in it.

Which construction & trades roles face similar AI exposure?

The closest published construction & trades roles to First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers by score are Coin, Vending, and Amusement Machine Servicers and Repairers (23/100), Electrical and Electronics Repairers, Commercial and Industrial Equipment (26/100), and Electrical and Electronics Repairers, Powerhouse, Substation, and Relay (22/100). Each has its own page with the research behind its number.

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Acoustical Tile Carpenters' Supervisor · Adjustable Steel Joist Setting Supervisor · Asbestos Removal Supervisor · Asphalt Paving Supervisor · Awning Hanger Supervisor · Bailer Operators' Supervisor · Bailer Tenders' Supervisor · Billposting Supervisor and related titles

More construction & trades occupations

• Solar Energy Installation Managers27/100
• Electrical and Electronics Repairers, Commercial and Industrial Equipment26/100
• Coin, Vending, and Amusement Machine Servicers and Repairers23/100
• Electrical and Electronics Repairers, Powerhouse, Substation, and Relay22/100
• Security and Fire Alarm Systems Installers22/100
• Solar Photovoltaic Installers22/100
• Medical Equipment Repairers21/100
• Telecommunications Equipment Installers and Repairers, Except Line Installers21/100