Occupation baseline · Research consensus
Will AI replace Boilermakers?
Baseline AI displacement risk for Boilermakers, aggregated from 5 research sources.
What this score means
Boilermakers is among the least exposed roles in Construction & Trades. Most of what the job involves still sits outside what current AI can do, even as the tools around it keep changing. At 11 out of 100 it sits close to the Construction & Trades average of 13. Across the 5 sources behind this baseline, individual estimates run from 5 to 23, so the score is a weighted consensus rather than any single figure.
The number is a consensus estimate for the typical version of the role, built from published academic and industry research scored occupation by occupation. It is not a prediction about any individual. How scoring works
What this job actually involves
Exposure follows the work itself rather than the job title, so it is worth seeing what the role is made of. These are the tasks O*NET records for Boilermakers, most central first, showing 12 of 18.
- 01Conduct pressure tests on vessels, such as boilers.
- 02Study blueprints to determine locations, relationships, or dimensions of parts.
- 03Examine boilers, pressure vessels, tanks, or vats to locate defects, such as leaks, weak spots, or defective sections, so that they can be repaired.
- 04Inspect assembled vessels or individual components, such as tubes, fittings, valves, controls, or auxiliary mechanisms, to locate any defects.
- 05Lay out plate, sheet steel, or other heavy metal and locate and mark bending and cutting lines, using protractors, compasses, and drawing instruments or templates.
- 06Bell, bead with power hammers, or weld pressure vessel tube ends to ensure leakproof joints.
- 07Locate and mark reference points for columns or plates on boiler foundations, following blueprints and using straightedges, squares, transits, or measuring instruments.
- 08Shape or fabricate parts, such as stacks, uptakes, or chutes, to adapt pressure vessels, heat exchangers, or piping to premises, using heavy-metalworking machines such as brakes, rolls, or drill presses.
- 09Position, align, and secure structural parts or related assemblies to boiler frames, tanks, or vats of pressure vessels, following blueprints.
- 10Clean pressure vessel equipment, using scrapers, wire brushes, and cleaning solvents.
- 11Repair or replace defective pressure vessel parts, such as safety valves or regulators, using torches, jacks, caulking hammers, power saws, threading dies, welding equipment, or metalworking machinery.
- 12Attach rigging and signal crane or hoist operators to lift heavy frame and plate sections or other parts into place.
Task statements from O*NET by the National Center for O*NET Development, used under CC BY 4.0. The tasks are descriptive; the exposure score above is ours.
The research behind this score
This baseline aggregates 5 research sources that scored Boilermakers for AI and automation exposure. More recent, higher confidence studies carry more weight in the final number.
- 01Anthropic Economic Index 2026 - AI Task Exposure · 2026Anthropic
- 02Global Automation Atlas: Task Substitution Exposure by Occupation · 2026Garg, Crosta, Baier (2026), arXiv:2605.17086
- 03Working with AI: Measuring the Applicability of Generative AI to Occupations · 2025Tomlinson, Jaffe et al., Microsoft Research (2025)
- 04GPTs are GPTs: Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs · 2024Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin, Rock (Science, 2024)
- 05AI Occupational Exposure to Language Modeling · 2023Felten, Raj, Seamans (2023)
Common questions
- How likely is AI to replace Boilermakers?
- Published research puts Boilermakers at 11 out of 100 for AI displacement risk, in the lower risk band. The number is a weighted consensus of 5 research sources and describes the typical version of the role, not any individual.
- Do researchers agree on the risk for Boilermakers?
- Broadly, yes. Individual estimates for Boilermakers run from 5 to 23 out of 100 across the 5 sources behind this score, a fairly tight range. More recent and higher confidence studies carry more weight in the final number.
- Which construction & trades roles face similar AI exposure?
- The closest published construction & trades roles to Boilermakers by score are Construction Laborers (11/100), Derrick Operators, Oil and Gas (11/100), and Helpers--Extraction Workers (11/100). Each has its own page with the research behind its number.
Also covers
Assembler · Boiler Control Technician (Boiler Control Tech) · Boiler Erector · Boiler Fitter · Boiler Installer · Boiler Maker · Boiler Mechanic · Boiler Reliner and related titles
Estimated displacement window
The dated estimate for this role is included in the full personalised report.
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More construction & trades occupations
- Aircraft Mechanics and Service Technicians12/100
- Construction Laborers11/100
- Derrick Operators, Oil and Gas11/100
- Helpers--Extraction Workers11/100
- Maintenance and Repair Workers, General11/100
- Operating Engineers and Other Construction Equipment Operators11/100
- Septic Tank Servicers and Sewer Pipe Cleaners11/100
- Weatherization Installers and Technicians11/100
Informational guidance based on published research, not professional career or financial advice. Scores update as new research is ingested.