Occupation baseline · Research consensus
Will AI replace Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas?
Baseline AI displacement risk for Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas, aggregated from 5 research sources.
What this score means
Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas is among the least exposed roles in Construction & Trades. Most of what the job involves still sits outside what current AI can do, even as the tools around it keep changing. At 13 out of 100 it sits close to the Construction & Trades average of 13. Across the 5 sources behind this baseline, individual estimates run from 5 to 29, so the score is a weighted consensus rather than any single figure.
The number is a consensus estimate for the typical version of the role, built from published academic and industry research scored occupation by occupation. It is not a prediction about any individual. How scoring works
What this job actually involves
Exposure follows the work itself rather than the job title, so it is worth seeing what the role is made of. These are the tasks O*NET records for Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas, most central first, showing 12 of 20.
- 01Train crews, and introduce procedures to make drill work more safe and effective.
- 02Observe pressure gauge and move throttles and levers to control the speed of rotary tables, and to regulate pressure of tools at bottoms of boreholes.
- 03Count sections of drill rod to determine depths of boreholes.
- 04Push levers and brake pedals to control gasoline, diesel, electric, or steam draw works that lower and raise drill pipes and casings in and out of wells.
- 05Connect sections of drill pipe, using hand tools and powered wrenches and tongs.
- 06Maintain records of footage drilled, location and nature of strata penetrated, materials and tools used, services rendered, and time required.
- 07Maintain and adjust machinery to ensure proper performance.
- 08Start and examine operation of slush pumps to ensure circulation and consistency of drilling fluid or mud in well.
- 09Locate and recover lost or broken bits, casings, and drill pipes from wells, using special tools.
- 10Weigh clay, and mix with water and chemicals to make drilling mud.
- 11Direct rig crews in drilling and other activities, such as setting up rigs and completing or servicing wells.
- 12Monitor progress of drilling operations, and select and change drill bits according to the nature of strata, using hand tools.
Task statements from O*NET by the National Center for O*NET Development, used under CC BY 4.0. The tasks are descriptive; the exposure score above is ours.
The research behind this score
This baseline aggregates 5 research sources that scored Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas for AI and automation exposure. More recent, higher confidence studies carry more weight in the final number.
- 01Anthropic Economic Index 2026 - AI Task Exposure · 2026Anthropic
- 02Global Automation Atlas: Task Substitution Exposure by Occupation · 2026Garg, Crosta, Baier (2026), arXiv:2605.17086
- 03Working with AI: Measuring the Applicability of Generative AI to Occupations · 2025Tomlinson, Jaffe et al., Microsoft Research (2025)
- 04GPTs are GPTs: Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs · 2024Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin, Rock (Science, 2024)
- 05AI Occupational Exposure to Language Modeling · 2023Felten, Raj, Seamans (2023)
Common questions
- How likely is AI to replace Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas?
- Published research puts Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas at 13 out of 100 for AI displacement risk, in the lower risk band. The number is a weighted consensus of 5 research sources and describes the typical version of the role, not any individual.
- Do researchers agree on the risk for Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas?
- Only partly. Individual estimates for Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas run from 5 to 29 out of 100 across the 5 sources behind this score, so the single number smooths over real disagreement. More recent and higher confidence studies carry more weight in it.
- Which construction & trades roles face similar AI exposure?
- The closest published construction & trades roles to Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas by score are Electrical and Electronics Installers and Repairers, Transportation Equipment (13/100), Farm Equipment Mechanics and Service Technicians (13/100), and Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers (13/100). Each has its own page with the research behind its number.
Also covers
Blast Driller · Cable Driller · Cable Tool Driller · Cable Tool Operator · Clean Out Driller · Core Drill Operator · Core Driller · Daylight Driller and related titles
Estimated displacement window
The dated estimate for this role is included in the full personalised report.
Your number is not the baseline
Seniority, sector, and how much of your day is routine all shift the score. Answer a few questions and get your personal risk score free, no signup.
Get my personal scoreFree · No credit card · No signup
More construction & trades occupations
- Electrical and Electronics Installers and Repairers, Transportation Equipment13/100
- Farm Equipment Mechanics and Service Technicians13/100
- Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers13/100
- Home Appliance Repairers13/100
- Loading and Moving Machine Operators, Underground Mining13/100
- Millwrights13/100
- Musical Instrument Repairers and Tuners13/100
- Radio, Cellular, and Tower Equipment Installers and Repairers13/100
Informational guidance based on published research, not professional career or financial advice. Scores update as new research is ingested.