How likely is AI to replace Plasterers and Stucco Masons?

Published research puts Plasterers and Stucco Masons at 9 out of 100 for AI displacement risk, in the lower risk band. The number is a weighted consensus of 5 research sources and describes the typical version of the role, not any individual.

Do researchers agree on the risk for Plasterers and Stucco Masons?

Broadly, yes. Individual estimates for Plasterers and Stucco Masons run from 5 to 14 out of 100 across the 5 sources behind this score, a fairly tight range. More recent and higher confidence studies carry more weight in the final number.

Which construction & trades roles face similar AI exposure?

The closest published construction & trades roles to Plasterers and Stucco Masons by score are Automotive Body and Related Repairers (9/100), Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists (9/100), and Elevator and Escalator Installers and Repairers (9/100). Each has its own page with the research behind its number.

Occupation baseline · Research consensus

Will AI replace Plasterers and Stucco Masons?

Lower risk

Baseline AI displacement risk for Plasterers and Stucco Masons, aggregated from 5 research sources.

What this score means

Plasterers and Stucco Masons is among the least exposed roles in Construction & Trades. Most of what the job involves still sits outside what current AI can do, even as the tools around it keep changing. At 9 out of 100 it scores 4 points below the Construction & Trades average of 13. Across the 5 sources behind this baseline, individual estimates run from 5 to 14, so the score is a weighted consensus rather than any single figure.

The number is a consensus estimate for the typical version of the role, built from published academic and industry research scored occupation by occupation. It is not a prediction about any individual. How scoring works

What this job actually involves

Exposure follows the work itself rather than the job title, so it is worth seeing what the role is made of. These are the tasks O*NET records for Plasterers and Stucco Masons, most central first, showing 12 of 15.

01Cover surfaces such as windows, doors, or sidewalks to protect from splashing.
02Clean job sites.
03Mix mortar and plaster to desired consistency or direct workers who perform mixing.
04Apply coats of plaster or stucco to walls, ceilings, or partitions of buildings, using trowels, brushes, or spray guns.
05Set up scaffolds.
06Determine materials needed to complete the job and place orders accordingly.
07Apply weatherproof, decorative coverings to exterior surfaces of buildings, such as by troweling or spraying on coats of stucco.
08Clean and prepare surfaces for applications of plaster, cement, stucco, or similar materials, such as by drywall taping.
09Create decorative textures in finish coat, using brushes or trowels, sand, pebbles, or stones.
10Apply insulation to building exteriors by installing prefabricated insulation systems over existing walls or by covering the outer wall with insulation board, reinforcing mesh, and a base coat.
11Rough the undercoat surface with a scratcher so the finish coat will adhere.
12Cure freshly plastered surfaces.

Task statements from O*NET by the National Center for O*NET Development, used under CC BY 4.0. The tasks are descriptive; the exposure score above is ours.

The research behind this score

This baseline aggregates 5 research sources that scored Plasterers and Stucco Masons for AI and automation exposure. More recent, higher confidence studies carry more weight in the final number.

01Anthropic Economic Index 2026 - AI Task Exposure · 2026Anthropic
02Global Automation Atlas: Task Substitution Exposure by Occupation · 2026Garg, Crosta, Baier (2026), arXiv:2605.17086
03Working with AI: Measuring the Applicability of Generative AI to Occupations · 2025Tomlinson, Jaffe et al., Microsoft Research (2025)
04GPTs are GPTs: Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs · 2024Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin, Rock (Science, 2024)
05AI Occupational Exposure to Language Modeling · 2023Felten, Raj, Seamans (2023)

Common questions

How likely is AI to replace Plasterers and Stucco Masons?: Published research puts Plasterers and Stucco Masons at 9 out of 100 for AI displacement risk, in the lower risk band. The number is a weighted consensus of 5 research sources and describes the typical version of the role, not any individual.
Do researchers agree on the risk for Plasterers and Stucco Masons?: Broadly, yes. Individual estimates for Plasterers and Stucco Masons run from 5 to 14 out of 100 across the 5 sources behind this score, a fairly tight range. More recent and higher confidence studies carry more weight in the final number.
Which construction & trades roles face similar AI exposure?: The closest published construction & trades roles to Plasterers and Stucco Masons by score are Automotive Body and Related Repairers (9/100), Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists (9/100), and Elevator and Escalator Installers and Repairers (9/100). Each has its own page with the research behind its number.

Also covers

Applicator · Artisan · Artisan Plasterer · Decorative Plasterer · Dry Plasterer · Hard Surface Plasterer · Mason · Mason Plasterer and related titles

Estimated displacement window

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Informational guidance based on published research, not professional career or financial advice. Scores update as new research is ingested.