Occupation baseline · Research consensus
Will AI replace Highway Maintenance Workers?
Baseline AI displacement risk for Highway Maintenance Workers, aggregated from 5 research sources.
What this score means
Highway Maintenance Workers is among the least exposed roles in Construction & Trades. Most of what the job involves still sits outside what current AI can do, even as the tools around it keep changing. At 15 out of 100 it sits close to the Construction & Trades average of 13. Across the 5 sources behind this baseline, individual estimates run from 5 to 40, so the score is a weighted consensus rather than any single figure.
The number is a consensus estimate for the typical version of the role, built from published academic and industry research scored occupation by occupation. It is not a prediction about any individual. How scoring works
What this job actually involves
Exposure follows the work itself rather than the job title, so it is worth seeing what the role is made of. These are the tasks O*NET records for Highway Maintenance Workers, most central first, showing 12 of 19.
- 01Set out signs and cones around work areas to divert traffic.
- 02Flag motorists to warn them of obstacles or repair work ahead.
- 03Perform preventative maintenance on vehicles and heavy equipment.
- 04Drive trucks to transport crews and equipment to work sites.
- 05Erect, install, or repair guardrails, road shoulders, berms, highway markers, warning signals, and highway lighting, using hand tools and power tools.
- 06Clean and clear debris from culverts, catch basins, drop inlets, ditches, and other drain structures.
- 07Drive heavy equipment and vehicles with adjustable attachments to sweep debris from paved surfaces, mow grass and weeds, remove snow and ice, and spread salt and sand.
- 08Haul and spread sand, gravel, and clay to fill washouts and repair road shoulders.
- 09Inspect, clean, and repair drainage systems, bridges, tunnels, and other structures.
- 10Remove litter and debris from roadways, including debris from rock and mud slides.
- 11Dump, spread, and tamp asphalt, using pneumatic tampers, to repair joints and patch broken pavement.
- 12Perform roadside landscaping work, such as clearing weeds and brush, and planting and trimming trees.
Task statements from O*NET by the National Center for O*NET Development, used under CC BY 4.0. The tasks are descriptive; the exposure score above is ours.
The research behind this score
This baseline aggregates 5 research sources that scored Highway Maintenance Workers for AI and automation exposure. More recent, higher confidence studies carry more weight in the final number.
- 01Anthropic Economic Index 2026 - AI Task Exposure · 2026Anthropic
- 02Global Automation Atlas: Task Substitution Exposure by Occupation · 2026Garg, Crosta, Baier (2026), arXiv:2605.17086
- 03Working with AI: Measuring the Applicability of Generative AI to Occupations · 2025Tomlinson, Jaffe et al., Microsoft Research (2025)
- 04GPTs are GPTs: Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs · 2024Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin, Rock (Science, 2024)
- 05AI Occupational Exposure to Language Modeling · 2023Felten, Raj, Seamans (2023)
Common questions
- How likely is AI to replace Highway Maintenance Workers?
- Published research puts Highway Maintenance Workers at 15 out of 100 for AI displacement risk, in the lower risk band. The number is a weighted consensus of 5 research sources and describes the typical version of the role, not any individual.
- Do researchers agree on the risk for Highway Maintenance Workers?
- Only partly. Individual estimates for Highway Maintenance Workers run from 5 to 40 out of 100 across the 5 sources behind this score, so the single number smooths over real disagreement. More recent and higher confidence studies carry more weight in it.
- Which construction & trades roles face similar AI exposure?
- The closest published construction & trades roles to Highway Maintenance Workers by score are Control and Valve Installers and Repairers, Except Mechanical Door (15/100), Helpers--Painters, Paperhangers, Plasterers, and Stucco Masons (15/100), and Mobile Heavy Equipment Mechanics, Except Engines (15/100). Each has its own page with the research behind its number.
Also covers
Asphalt Raker · Caltrans Equipment Operator · Certified Flagger · Construction Flagger · Equipment Operator (EO) · Flagger · Highway Maintainer · Highway Maintenance Crew Worker and related titles
Estimated displacement window
The dated estimate for this role is included in the full personalised report.
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More construction & trades occupations
- Electric Motor, Power Tool, and Related Repairers16/100
- Control and Valve Installers and Repairers, Except Mechanical Door15/100
- Helpers--Painters, Paperhangers, Plasterers, and Stucco Masons15/100
- Mobile Heavy Equipment Mechanics, Except Engines15/100
- Recreational Vehicle Service Technicians15/100
- Earth Drillers, Except Oil and Gas14/100
- Excavating and Loading Machine and Dragline Operators, Surface Mining14/100
- Hazardous Materials Removal Workers14/100
Informational guidance based on published research, not professional career or financial advice. Scores update as new research is ingested.