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AI Job Risk

Sector baseline · Research consensus

AI displacement risk in management

Management averages 37 out of 100 across 61 published occupations. Behind it, Public Relations Managers scores 51 and Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers scores 17, a 34 point spread. That is narrower than the 42 point gap between the most and least exposed sector overall, so Management moves together more than most fields do.

37

Sector average, out of 100

61

Occupations scored

34

Point spread, 17 to 51

19

Occupations scoring 40 or above

How the sector splits

Of the 61, 0 occupations clear 70 and count as high risk, 19 sit between 40 and 69, and 42 fall below 40.

Exposure follows the tasks inside a role rather than the field it sits in, so two jobs that share a sector can still land far apart. The whole published set averages 31 across 961 occupations in 21 sectors. How scoring works

Every management occupation, most exposed first

Rank is against the full published set, not against the sector. Every occupation here is backed by at least two distinct published studies.

AI displacement risk scores for 61 management occupations
RankOccupationScore
115Public Relations Managers51
125Financial Consultant50
146Training and Development Managers49
154Marketing Managers48
173Treasurers and Controllers47
174Advertising and Promotions Managers46
180Purchasing Managers46
190Financial Managers45
203Investment Fund Managers44
211Transportation, Storage, and Distribution Managers44
216Computer and Information Systems Managers43
229Supply Chain Managers43
245Lodging Managers42
249Spa Managers42
257Clinical Research Coordinators41
258Compliance Managers41
262Entertainment and Recreation Managers, Except Gambling41
271Social and Community Service Managers41
282Personal Service Managers, All Other40
286Wind Energy Development Managers40
295Fundraising Managers39
296Human Resources Managers39
303Regulatory Affairs Managers39
304Sales Managers39
320Gambling Managers38
325Managers, All Other38
327Medical and Health Services Managers38
329Property, Real Estate, and Community Association Managers38
331Quality Control Systems Managers38
337Education Administrators, Kindergarten through Secondary37
339Facilities Managers37
344Loss Prevention Managers37
351Water Resource Specialists37
352Wind Energy Operations Managers37
354Chief Sustainability Officers36
356Education Administrators, All Other36
358Funeral Home Managers36
367Natural Sciences Managers36
370Security Managers36
373Compensation and Benefits Managers35
374Construction Managers35
376Education Administrators, Postsecondary35
377Emergency Management Directors35
384Postmasters and Mail Superintendents35
395Fitness and Wellness Coordinators34
410Administrative Services Managers33
412Brownfield Redevelopment Specialists and Site Managers33
425General and Operations Managers32
432Architectural and Engineering Managers31
433Biofuels Production Managers31
437Education and Childcare Administrators, Preschool and Daycare31
451Biomass Power Plant Managers30
455Food Service Managers30
460Legislators30
476Industrial Production Managers29
485Biofuels/Biodiesel Technology and Product Development Managers28
486Chief Executives28
490Geothermal Production Managers28
492Hydroelectric Production Managers28
741Business Development Manager17
748Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers17

The evidence behind these scores

Each score aggregates published academic and industry estimates for that occupation, calibrated onto a common scale before they are combined. Across management, the thinnest occupation rests on 2 sources and the best evidenced on 12. Occupations backed by fewer than two distinct sources are not published at all, here or anywhere on the site.

See the dataset and its limits, or the full ranking in one table.

A sector average is not your score

Roles across management already run 34 points apart, and the number above is the baseline for a typical version of each one. Seniority and how routine your day is move your own score further still. Answer a few questions and get it free, no sign-up.

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Other sectors

Every sector with at least 15 published occupations has its own baseline. Compare all of them, or browse occupations grouped by sector.

Informational guidance based on published research, not professional career or financial advice. Scores update as new research is ingested.