Occupation baseline · Research consensus
Will AI replace Administrative Services Managers?
Baseline AI displacement risk for Administrative Services Managers, aggregated from 11 research sources.
What this score means
Administrative Services Managers leans toward the safer end for Management. Parts of the role touch tasks AI is getting good at, but the core still depends on hands on work or judgment that resists automation. At 33 out of 100 it scores 4 points below the Management average of 37. Across the 11 sources behind this baseline, individual estimates run from 11 to 50, so the score is a weighted consensus rather than any single figure.
The number is a consensus estimate for the typical version of the role, built from published academic and industry research scored occupation by occupation. It is not a prediction about any individual. How scoring works
What this job actually involves
Exposure follows the work itself rather than the job title, so it is worth seeing what the role is made of. These are the tasks O*NET records for Administrative Services Managers, most central first, showing 12 of 18.
- 01Prepare and review operational reports and schedules to ensure accuracy and efficiency.
- 02Set goals and deadlines for the department.
- 03Acquire, distribute and store supplies.
- 04Analyze internal processes and recommend and implement procedural or policy changes to improve operations, such as supply changes or the disposal of records.
- 05Conduct classes to teach procedures to staff.
- 06Plan, administer, and control budgets for contracts, equipment, and supplies.
- 07Hire and terminate clerical and administrative personnel.
- 08Direct or coordinate the supportive services department of a business, agency, or organization.
- 09Communicate with and provide guidance for external vendors and service providers to ensure the organization, department, or work unit's business needs are met.
- 10Develop operational standards and procedures for the work unit or department.
- 11Establish work procedures or schedules to organize the daily work of administrative staff.
- 12Learn to operate new office technologies as they are developed and implemented.
Task statements from O*NET by the National Center for O*NET Development, used under CC BY 4.0. The tasks are descriptive; the exposure score above is ours.
The research behind this score
This baseline aggregates 11 research sources that scored Administrative Services Managers for AI and automation exposure. More recent, higher confidence studies carry more weight in the final number.
- 01Anthropic Economic Index 2026 - AI Task Exposure · 2026Anthropic
- 02Crashing Waves vs. Rising Tides: Preliminary Findings on AI Automation from Thousands of Worker Evaluations of Labor Market Tasks · 2026Mertens, Thompson et al., MIT FutureTech (2026)
- 03Global Automation Atlas: Task Substitution Exposure by Occupation · 2026Garg, Crosta, Baier (2026), arXiv:2605.17086
- 04The AI Jobs Transition Framework: Mapping AI's Near-Term Impact on Jobs · 2026OpenAI Economic Research (2026)
- 05The Fearless Future: 2026 Global AI Jobs Barometer — UAE Analysis · 2026PwC, Global AI Jobs Barometer (2026)
- 06Generative AI and Jobs: A Refined Global Index of Occupational Exposure · 2025International Labour Organization, Working Paper 140 (2025)
- 07Working with AI: Measuring the Applicability of Generative AI to Occupations · 2025Tomlinson, Jaffe et al., Microsoft Research (2025)
- 08A new future of work: The race to deploy AI and raise skills in Europe and beyond · 2024McKinsey Global Institute (2024)
- 09GPTs are GPTs: Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs · 2024Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin, Rock (Science, 2024)
- 10AI Occupational Exposure to Language Modeling · 2023Felten, Raj, Seamans (2023)
- 11Generative AI and the Future of Work in America · 2023McKinsey Global Institute (2023)
Common questions
- How likely is AI to replace Administrative Services Managers?
- Published research puts Administrative Services Managers at 33 out of 100 for AI displacement risk, in the lower risk band. The number is a weighted consensus of 11 research sources and describes the typical version of the role, not any individual.
- Do researchers agree on the risk for Administrative Services Managers?
- Only partly. Individual estimates for Administrative Services Managers run from 11 to 50 out of 100 across the 11 sources behind this score, so the single number smooths over real disagreement. More recent and higher confidence studies carry more weight in it.
- Which management roles face similar AI exposure?
- The closest published management roles to Administrative Services Managers by score are Brownfield Redevelopment Specialists and Site Managers (33/100), Fitness and Wellness Coordinators (34/100), and General and Operations Managers (32/100). Each has its own page with the research behind its number.
Also covers
Administration Director · Administrative Coordinator · Administrative Director · Administrative Manager · Administrative Officer · Administrative Services Manager · Administrator · Business Administrator and related titles
Estimated displacement window
The dated estimate for this role is included in the full personalised report.
Your number is not the baseline
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More management occupations
- Compensation and Benefits Managers35/100
- Construction Managers35/100
- Education Administrators, Postsecondary35/100
- Fitness and Wellness Coordinators34/100
- Brownfield Redevelopment Specialists and Site Managers33/100
- General and Operations Managers32/100
- Architectural and Engineering Managers31/100
- Biofuels Production Managers31/100
Informational guidance based on published research, not professional career or financial advice. Scores update as new research is ingested.