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AI Job Risk

Occupation baseline · Research consensus

Will AI replace Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers?

Lower risk

Baseline AI displacement risk for Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers, aggregated from 7 research sources.

What this score means

Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers is among the least exposed roles in Management. Most of what the job involves still sits outside what current AI can do, even as the tools around it keep changing. At 17 out of 100 it scores 20 points below the Management average of 37. Across the 7 sources behind this baseline, individual estimates run from 5 to 28, so the score is a weighted consensus rather than any single figure.

The number is a consensus estimate for the typical version of the role, built from published academic and industry research scored occupation by occupation. It is not a prediction about any individual. How scoring works

What this job actually involves

Exposure follows the work itself rather than the job title, so it is worth seeing what the role is made of. These are the tasks O*NET records for Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers, most central first, showing 12 of 30.

  • 01Collect and record growth, production, and environmental data.
  • 02Manage nurseries that grow horticultural plants for sale to trade or retail customers, for display or exhibition, or for research.
  • 03Direct and monitor trapping and spawning of fish, egg incubation, and fry rearing, applying knowledge of management and fish culturing techniques.
  • 04Direct and monitor the transfer of mature fish to lakes, ponds, streams, or commercial tanks.
  • 05Determine how to allocate resources and to respond to unanticipated problems, such as insect infestation, drought, and fire.
  • 06Determine plant growing conditions, such as greenhouses, hydroponics, or natural settings, and set planting and care schedules.
  • 07Devise and participate in activities to improve fish hatching and growth rates, and to prevent disease in hatcheries.
  • 08Position and regulate plant irrigation systems, and program environmental and irrigation control computers.
  • 09Prepare reports required by state and federal laws.
  • 10Inspect facilities and equipment for signs of disrepair, and perform necessary maintenance work.
  • 11Maintain financial, operational, production, or employment records for farms or ranches.
  • 12Coordinate clerical, record-keeping, inventory, requisitioning, and marketing activities.

Task statements from O*NET by the National Center for O*NET Development, used under CC BY 4.0. The tasks are descriptive; the exposure score above is ours.

The research behind this score

This baseline aggregates 7 research sources that scored Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers for AI and automation exposure. More recent, higher confidence studies carry more weight in the final number.

Common questions

How likely is AI to replace Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers?
Published research puts Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers at 17 out of 100 for AI displacement risk, in the lower risk band. The number is a weighted consensus of 7 research sources and describes the typical version of the role, not any individual.
Do researchers agree on the risk for Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers?
Only partly. Individual estimates for Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers run from 5 to 28 out of 100 across the 7 sources behind this score, so the single number smooths over real disagreement. More recent and higher confidence studies carry more weight in it.
Which management roles face similar AI exposure?
The closest published management roles to Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers by score are Business Development Manager (17/100), Biofuels/Biodiesel Technology and Product Development Managers (28/100), and Chief Executives (28/100). Each has its own page with the research behind its number.

Also covers

Accredited Farm Manager (AFM) · Agricultural Crop Farm Manager · Agricultural Manager · Agriculture Farmer · Agriculture Manager · Agronomy Manager · Agronomy Operations Manager · Animal Husbandry Manager and related titles

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Informational guidance based on published research, not professional career or financial advice. Scores update as new research is ingested.