Sector baseline · Research consensus

AI displacement risk in technology

Technology averages 55 out of 100 across 38 published occupations. Behind it, Data Scientists scores 64 and Actuaries scores 42, a 22 point spread. That is narrower than the 42 point gap between the most and least exposed sector overall, so Technology moves together more than most fields do.

Sector average, out of 100

Occupations scored

Point spread, 42 to 64

Occupations scoring 40 or above

How the sector splits

Of the 38, 0 occupations clear 70 and count as high risk, 38 sit between 40 and 69, and 0 fall below 40.

Exposure follows the tasks inside a role rather than the field it sits in, so two jobs that share a sector can still land far apart. The whole published set averages 31 across 961 occupations in 21 sectors. How scoring works

Every technology occupation, most exposed first

Rank is against the full published set, not against the sector. Every occupation here is backed by at least two distinct published studies.

AI displacement risk scores for 38 technology occupations
Rank	Occupation	Score	Sources
5	Data Scientists	64	7
11	Data Warehousing Specialists	62	6
14	Business Intelligence Analysts	61	7
17	Mathematical Science Occupations, All Other	61	4
19	Software Quality Assurance Analysts and Testers	61	7
21	Web Developers	61	7
22	Bioinformatics Technicians	60	6
30	Clinical Data Managers	59	7
31	Computer Programmers	59	12
32	Database Administrators	59	7
41	Web Administrators	59	7
43	Computer User Support Specialists	58	7
46	Digital Forensics Analysts	58	4
50	Operations Research Analysts	58	7
53	Statisticians	58	7
55	Biostatisticians	57	7
57	Document Management Specialists	57	6
66	Database Architects	56	6
69	Geographic Information Systems Technologists and Technicians	56	6
76	Computer Occupations, All Other	55	4
78	Information Security Engineers	55	4
83	Web and Digital Interface Designers	55	6
87	Mathematicians	54	7
91	Computer Network Support Specialists	53	8
96	Network and Computer Systems Administrators	53	7
98	Blockchain Engineers	52	4
101	Computer Systems Engineers/Architects	52	8
112	Information Security Analysts	51	7
114	Penetration Testers	51	4
117	Telecommunications Engineering Specialists	51	6
130	Information Technology Project Managers	50	7
136	Video Game Designers	50	7
138	Computer Systems Analysts	49	12
141	Health Informatics Specialists	49	7
151	Computer Network Architects	48	6
171	Software Developers	47	12
197	Computer and Information Research Scientists	44	7
233	Actuaries	42	6

The evidence behind these scores

Each score aggregates published academic and industry estimates for that occupation, calibrated onto a common scale before they are combined. Across technology, the thinnest occupation rests on 4 sources and the best evidenced on 12. Occupations backed by fewer than two distinct sources are not published at all, here or anywhere on the site.

See the dataset and its limits, or the full ranking in one table.

A sector average is not your score

Roles across technology already run 22 points apart, and the number above is the baseline for a typical version of each one. Seniority and how routine your day is move your own score further still. Answer a few questions and get it free, no sign-up.

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Other sectors

Every sector with at least 15 published occupations has its own baseline. Compare all of them, or browse occupations grouped by sector.

Informational guidance based on published research, not professional career or financial advice. Scores update as new research is ingested.