Occupation baseline · Research consensus
Will AI replace Information Technology Project Managers?
Baseline AI displacement risk for Information Technology Project Managers, aggregated from 7 research sources.
What this score means
Information Technology Project Managers sits in the middle of the exposure range for Technology. Routine parts of the job are starting to automate, but much of it still depends on judgment, relationships, and context that today's models handle poorly. At 50 out of 100 it scores 5 points below the Technology average of 55. Across the 7 sources behind this baseline, individual estimates run from 38 to 60, so the score is a weighted consensus rather than any single figure.
The number is a consensus estimate for the typical version of the role, built from published academic and industry research scored occupation by occupation. It is not a prediction about any individual. How scoring works
What this job actually involves
Exposure follows the work itself rather than the job title, so it is worth seeing what the role is made of. These are the tasks O*NET records for Information Technology Project Managers, most central first, showing 12 of 21.
- 01Manage project execution to ensure adherence to budget, schedule, and scope.
- 02Confer with project personnel to identify and resolve problems.
- 03Monitor or track project milestones and deliverables.
- 04Submit project deliverables, ensuring adherence to quality standards.
- 05Assess current or future customer needs and priorities by communicating directly with customers, conducting surveys, or other methods.
- 06Initiate, review, or approve modifications to project plans.
- 07Schedule and facilitate meetings related to information technology projects.
- 08Direct or coordinate activities of project personnel.
- 09Develop implementation plans that include analyses such as cost-benefit or return on investment (ROI).
- 10Identify need for initial or supplemental project resources.
- 11Develop or update project plans for information technology projects including information such as project objectives, technologies, systems, information specifications, schedules, funding, and staffing.
- 12Perform risk assessments to develop response strategies.
Task statements from O*NET by the National Center for O*NET Development, used under CC BY 4.0. The tasks are descriptive; the exposure score above is ours.
The research behind this score
This baseline aggregates 7 research sources that scored Information Technology Project Managers for AI and automation exposure. More recent, higher confidence studies carry more weight in the final number.
- 01Anthropic Economic Index 2026 - AI Task Exposure · 2026Anthropic
- 02Global Automation Atlas: Task Substitution Exposure by Occupation · 2026Garg, Crosta, Baier (2026), arXiv:2605.17086
- 03WORKBank: Expert-Rated Automation Capacity of Occupational Tasks · 2026Shao, Zope, Jiang, Pei, Nguyen, Brynjolfsson, Yang, Stanford (2026)
- 04Generative AI and Jobs: A Refined Global Index of Occupational Exposure · 2025International Labour Organization, Working Paper 140 (2025)
- 05Working with AI: Measuring the Applicability of Generative AI to Occupations · 2025Tomlinson, Jaffe et al., Microsoft Research (2025)
- 06GPTs are GPTs: Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs · 2024Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin, Rock (Science, 2024)
- 07AI Occupational Exposure to Language Modeling · 2023Felten, Raj, Seamans (2023)
Common questions
- How likely is AI to replace Information Technology Project Managers?
- Published research puts Information Technology Project Managers at 50 out of 100 for AI displacement risk, in the transitioning band. The number is a weighted consensus of 7 research sources and describes the typical version of the role, not any individual.
- Do researchers agree on the risk for Information Technology Project Managers?
- Only partly. Individual estimates for Information Technology Project Managers run from 38 to 60 out of 100 across the 7 sources behind this score, so the single number smooths over real disagreement. More recent and higher confidence studies carry more weight in it.
- Which technology roles face similar AI exposure?
- The closest published technology roles to Information Technology Project Managers by score are Video Game Designers (50/100), Information Security Analysts (51/100), and Penetration Testers (51/100). Each has its own page with the research behind its number.
Also covers
Application Development Director · Application Manager · Cloud Product Director · Computer Project Manager · Cyber IT Knowledge Manager · Cybersecurity Project Manager · Cybersecurity Scrum Master · Data Center Product Director and related titles
Estimated displacement window
The dated estimate for this role is included in the full personalised report.
Your number is not the baseline
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More technology occupations
- Blockchain Engineers52/100
- Information Security Analysts51/100
- Penetration Testers51/100
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- Video Game Designers50/100
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- Health Informatics Specialists49/100
- Computer Network Architects48/100
Informational guidance based on published research, not professional career or financial advice. Scores update as new research is ingested.