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AI Job Risk

Occupation baseline · Research consensus

Will AI replace Actuaries?

Transitioning

Baseline AI displacement risk for Actuaries, aggregated from 6 research sources.

What this score means

Actuaries sits in the middle of the exposure range for Technology. Routine parts of the job are starting to automate, but much of it still depends on judgment, relationships, and context that today's models handle poorly. At 42 out of 100 it scores 13 points below the Technology average of 55. Across the 6 sources behind this baseline, individual estimates run from 13 to 65, so the score is a weighted consensus rather than any single figure.

The number is a consensus estimate for the typical version of the role, built from published academic and industry research scored occupation by occupation. It is not a prediction about any individual. How scoring works

What this job actually involves

Exposure follows the work itself rather than the job title, so it is worth seeing what the role is made of. These are the tasks O*NET records for Actuaries, most central first, showing 12 of 15.

  • 01Ascertain premium rates required and cash reserves and liabilities necessary to ensure payment of future benefits.
  • 02Collaborate with programmers, underwriters, accounts, claims experts, and senior management to help companies develop plans for new lines of business or improvements to existing business.
  • 03Analyze statistical information to estimate mortality, accident, sickness, disability, and retirement rates.
  • 04Design, review, and help administer insurance, annuity and pension plans, determining financial soundness and calculating premiums.
  • 05Determine, or help determine, company policy, and explain complex technical matters to company executives, government officials, shareholders, policyholders, or the public.
  • 06Construct probability tables for events such as fires, natural disasters, and unemployment, based on analysis of statistical data and other pertinent information.
  • 07Provide advice to clients on a contract basis, working as a consultant.
  • 08Determine equitable basis for distributing surplus earnings under participating insurance and annuity contracts in mutual companies.
  • 09Negotiate terms and conditions of reinsurance with other companies.
  • 10Provide expertise to help financial institutions manage risks and maximize returns associated with investment products or credit offerings.
  • 11Testify before public agencies on proposed legislation affecting businesses.
  • 12Determine policy contract provisions for each type of insurance.

Task statements from O*NET by the National Center for O*NET Development, used under CC BY 4.0. The tasks are descriptive; the exposure score above is ours.

The research behind this score

This baseline aggregates 6 research sources that scored Actuaries for AI and automation exposure. More recent, higher confidence studies carry more weight in the final number.

Common questions

How likely is AI to replace Actuaries?
Published research puts Actuaries at 42 out of 100 for AI displacement risk, in the transitioning band. The number is a weighted consensus of 6 research sources and describes the typical version of the role, not any individual.
Do researchers agree on the risk for Actuaries?
Only partly. Individual estimates for Actuaries run from 13 to 65 out of 100 across the 6 sources behind this score, so the single number smooths over real disagreement. More recent and higher confidence studies carry more weight in it.
Which technology roles face similar AI exposure?
The closest published technology roles to Actuaries by score are Computer and Information Research Scientists (44/100), Software Developers (47/100), and Computer Network Architects (48/100). Each has its own page with the research behind its number.

Also covers

Actuarial Analyst · Actuarial Associate · Actuarial Consultant · Actuarial Intern · Actuarial Mathematician · Actuarial Specialist · Actuary · Annuity Analyst and related titles

Estimated displacement window

The dated estimate for this role is included in the full personalised report.

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Informational guidance based on published research, not professional career or financial advice. Scores update as new research is ingested.