Will AI replace Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education?

What this score means

Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education leans toward the safer end for Education. Parts of the role touch tasks AI is getting good at, but the core still depends on hands on work or judgment that resists automation. At 39 out of 100 it sits close to the Education average of 39. Across the 5 sources behind this baseline, individual estimates run from 10 to 59, so the score is a weighted consensus rather than any single figure.

The number is a consensus estimate for the typical version of the role, built from published academic and industry research scored occupation by occupation. It is not a prediction about any individual. How scoring works

What this job actually involves

Exposure follows the work itself rather than the job title, so it is worth seeing what the role is made of. These are the tasks O*NET records for Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education, most central first, showing 12 of 35.

• 01Prepare materials and classrooms for class activities.
• 02Observe and evaluate students' performance, behavior, social development, and physical health.
• 03Instruct through lectures, discussions, and demonstrations in one or more subjects, such as English, mathematics, or social studies.
• 04Prepare, administer, and grade tests and assignments to evaluate students' progress.
• 05Establish and enforce rules for behavior and procedures for maintaining order among students.
• 06Establish clear objectives for all lessons, units, and projects, and communicate these objectives to students.
• 07Assign lessons and correct homework.
• 08Assist students who need extra help, such as by tutoring and preparing and implementing remedial programs.
• 09Confer with parents or guardians, other teachers, counselors, and administrators to resolve students' behavioral and academic problems.
• 10Maintain accurate, complete, and correct student records as required by laws, district policies, and administrative regulations.
• 11Plan and conduct activities for a balanced program of instruction, demonstration, and work time that provides students with opportunities to observe, question, and investigate.
• 12Adapt teaching methods and instructional materials to meet students' varying needs and interests.

Task statements from O*NET by the National Center for O*NET Development, used under CC BY 4.0. The tasks are descriptive; the exposure score above is ours.

The research behind this score

This baseline aggregates 5 research sources that scored Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education for AI and automation exposure. More recent, higher confidence studies carry more weight in the final number.

• 01Anthropic Economic Index 2026 - AI Task Exposure · 2026Anthropic
• 02Global Automation Atlas: Task Substitution Exposure by Occupation · 2026Garg, Crosta, Baier (2026), arXiv:2605.17086
• 03Working with AI: Measuring the Applicability of Generative AI to Occupations · 2025Tomlinson, Jaffe et al., Microsoft Research (2025)
• 04GPTs are GPTs: Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs · 2024Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin, Rock (Science, 2024)
• 05AI Occupational Exposure to Language Modeling · 2023Felten, Raj, Seamans (2023)

Common questions

How likely is AI to replace Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education?

Published research puts Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education at 39 out of 100 for AI displacement risk, in the lower risk band. The number is a weighted consensus of 5 research sources and describes the typical version of the role, not any individual.

Do researchers agree on the risk for Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education?

Only partly. Individual estimates for Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education run from 10 to 59 out of 100 across the 5 sources behind this score, so the single number smooths over real disagreement. More recent and higher confidence studies carry more weight in it.

Which education roles face similar AI exposure?

The closest published education roles to Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education by score are Atmospheric, Earth, Marine, and Space Sciences Teachers, Postsecondary (39/100), Career/Technical Education Teachers, Postsecondary (39/100), and Postsecondary Teachers, All Other (39/100). Each has its own page with the research behind its number.

Also covers

Algebra Teacher · American History Teacher · Art Educator · Art Instructor · Art Teacher · Band Director · Band Teacher · Bilingual Instructor and related titles

More education occupations

• Area, Ethnic, and Cultural Studies Teachers, Postsecondary40/100
• Environmental Science Teachers, Postsecondary40/100
• Atmospheric, Earth, Marine, and Space Sciences Teachers, Postsecondary39/100
• Career/Technical Education Teachers, Postsecondary39/100
• Postsecondary Teachers, All Other39/100
• Sociology Teachers, Postsecondary39/100
• Adult Basic Education, Adult Secondary Education, and English as a Second Language Instructors38/100
• Forestry and Conservation Science Teachers, Postsecondary38/100