Occupation baseline · Research consensus
Will AI replace Forging Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic?
Baseline AI displacement risk for Forging Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic, aggregated from 5 research sources.
What this score means
Forging Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic is among the least exposed roles in Manufacturing. Most of what the job involves still sits outside what current AI can do, even as the tools around it keep changing. At 13 out of 100 it scores 6 points below the Manufacturing average of 19. Across the 5 sources behind this baseline, individual estimates run from 5 to 19, so the score is a weighted consensus rather than any single figure.
The number is a consensus estimate for the typical version of the role, built from published academic and industry research scored occupation by occupation. It is not a prediction about any individual. How scoring works
What this job actually involves
Exposure follows the work itself rather than the job title, so it is worth seeing what the role is made of. These are the tasks O*NET records for Forging Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic, most central first, showing 12 of 13.
- 01Read work orders or blueprints to determine specified tolerances and sequences of operations for machine setup.
- 02Position and move metal wires or workpieces through a series of dies that compress and shape stock to form die impressions.
- 03Measure and inspect machined parts to ensure conformance to product specifications.
- 04Set up, operate, or tend presses and forging machines to perform hot or cold forging by flattening, straightening, bending, cutting, piercing, or other operations to taper, shape, or form metal.
- 05Turn handles or knobs to set pressures and depths of ram strokes and to synchronize machine operations.
- 06Install, adjust, and remove dies, synchronizing cams, forging hammers, and stop guides, using overhead cranes or other hoisting devices, and hand tools.
- 07Start machines to produce sample workpieces, and observe operations to detect machine malfunctions and to verify that machine setups conform to specifications.
- 08Confer with other workers about machine setups and operational specifications.
- 09Trim and compress finished forgings to specified tolerances.
- 10Remove dies from machines when production runs are finished.
- 11Repair, maintain, and replace parts on dies.
- 12Select, align, and bolt positioning fixtures, stops, and specified dies to rams and anvils, forging rolls, or presses and hammers.
Task statements from O*NET by the National Center for O*NET Development, used under CC BY 4.0. The tasks are descriptive; the exposure score above is ours.
The research behind this score
This baseline aggregates 5 research sources that scored Forging Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic for AI and automation exposure. More recent, higher confidence studies carry more weight in the final number.
- 01Anthropic Economic Index 2026 - AI Task Exposure · 2026Anthropic
- 02Global Automation Atlas: Task Substitution Exposure by Occupation · 2026Garg, Crosta, Baier (2026), arXiv:2605.17086
- 03Working with AI: Measuring the Applicability of Generative AI to Occupations · 2025Tomlinson, Jaffe et al., Microsoft Research (2025)
- 04GPTs are GPTs: Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs · 2024Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin, Rock (Science, 2024)
- 05AI Occupational Exposure to Language Modeling · 2023Felten, Raj, Seamans (2023)
Common questions
- How likely is AI to replace Forging Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic?
- Published research puts Forging Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic at 13 out of 100 for AI displacement risk, in the lower risk band. The number is a weighted consensus of 5 research sources and describes the typical version of the role, not any individual.
- Do researchers agree on the risk for Forging Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic?
- Broadly, yes. Individual estimates for Forging Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic run from 5 to 19 out of 100 across the 5 sources behind this score, a fairly tight range. More recent and higher confidence studies carry more weight in the final number.
- Which manufacturing roles face similar AI exposure?
- The closest published manufacturing roles to Forging Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic by score are Coating, Painting, and Spraying Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders (14/100), Potters, Manufacturing (14/100), and Furniture Finishers (12/100). Each has its own page with the research behind its number.
Also covers
Air Table Operator · Anvil Seating Press Operator · Automatic Casting-Forging Machine Operator · Blacksmith · Board Hammer Operator · Bolt Machine Operator · Buckshot Swage Operator · Bulldozer Operator and related titles
Estimated displacement window
The dated estimate for this role is included in the full personalised report.
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More manufacturing occupations
- Coil Winders, Tapers, and Finishers15/100
- Dental Laboratory Technicians15/100
- Medical Appliance Technicians15/100
- Paper Goods Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders15/100
- Coating, Painting, and Spraying Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders14/100
- Potters, Manufacturing14/100
- Furniture Finishers12/100
- Upholsterers12/100
Informational guidance based on published research, not professional career or financial advice. Scores update as new research is ingested.