Occupation baseline · Research consensus
Will AI replace Recreation Workers?
Baseline AI displacement risk for Recreation Workers, aggregated from 6 research sources.
What this score means
Recreation Workers is among the least exposed roles in Personal Services. Most of what the job involves still sits outside what current AI can do, even as the tools around it keep changing. At 22 out of 100 it sits close to the Personal Services average of 24. Across the 6 sources behind this baseline, individual estimates run from 5 to 41, so the score is a weighted consensus rather than any single figure.
The number is a consensus estimate for the typical version of the role, built from published academic and industry research scored occupation by occupation. It is not a prediction about any individual. How scoring works
What this job actually involves
Exposure follows the work itself rather than the job title, so it is worth seeing what the role is made of. These are the tasks O*NET records for Recreation Workers, most central first, showing 12 of 24.
- 01Enforce rules and regulations of recreational facilities to maintain discipline and ensure safety.
- 02Organize, lead, and promote interest in recreational activities, such as arts, crafts, sports, games, camping, and hobbies.
- 03Assess the needs and interests of individuals and groups and plan activities accordingly, given the available equipment or facilities.
- 04Manage the daily operations of recreational facilities.
- 05Administer first aid according to prescribed procedures and notify emergency medical personnel when necessary.
- 06Complete and maintain time and attendance forms and inventory lists.
- 07Explain principles, techniques, and safety procedures to participants in recreational activities and demonstrate use of materials and equipment.
- 08Direct special activities or events, such as aquatics, gymnastics, or performing arts.
- 09Supervise and coordinate the work activities of personnel, such as training staff members and assigning work duties.
- 10Evaluate recreation areas, facilities, and services to determine if they are producing desired results.
- 11Document individuals' progress toward meeting their treatment goals.
- 12Greet new arrivals to activities, introducing them to other participants, explaining facility rules, and encouraging participation.
Task statements from O*NET by the National Center for O*NET Development, used under CC BY 4.0. The tasks are descriptive; the exposure score above is ours.
The research behind this score
This baseline aggregates 6 research sources that scored Recreation Workers for AI and automation exposure. More recent, higher confidence studies carry more weight in the final number.
- 01Anthropic Economic Index 2026 - AI Task Exposure · 2026Anthropic
- 02Global Automation Atlas: Task Substitution Exposure by Occupation · 2026Garg, Crosta, Baier (2026), arXiv:2605.17086
- 03Working with AI: Measuring the Applicability of Generative AI to Occupations · 2025Tomlinson, Jaffe et al., Microsoft Research (2025)
- 04GPTs are GPTs: Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs · 2024Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin, Rock (Science, 2024)
- 05AI Occupational Exposure to Language Modeling · 2023Felten, Raj, Seamans (2023)
- 06Generative AI and the Future of Work in America · 2023McKinsey Global Institute (2023)
Common questions
- How likely is AI to replace Recreation Workers?
- Published research puts Recreation Workers at 22 out of 100 for AI displacement risk, in the lower risk band. The number is a weighted consensus of 6 research sources and describes the typical version of the role, not any individual.
- Do researchers agree on the risk for Recreation Workers?
- Only partly. Individual estimates for Recreation Workers run from 5 to 41 out of 100 across the 6 sources behind this score, so the single number smooths over real disagreement. More recent and higher confidence studies carry more weight in it.
- Which personal services roles face similar AI exposure?
- The closest published personal services roles to Recreation Workers by score are Childcare Workers (22/100), Nannies (22/100), and Funeral Attendants (21/100). Each has its own page with the research behind its number.
Also covers
Activities Aide · Activities Assistant · Activities Associate · Activities Coordinator · Activities Counselor · Activities Director · Activities Leader · Activity Aide and related titles
Estimated displacement window
The dated estimate for this role is included in the full personalised report.
Your number is not the baseline
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More personal services occupations
- Locker Room, Coatroom, and Dressing Room Attendants26/100
- Ushers, Lobby Attendants, and Ticket Takers26/100
- Animal Caretakers25/100
- Childcare Workers22/100
- Nannies22/100
- Funeral Attendants21/100
- Costume Attendants20/100
- Exercise Trainers and Group Fitness Instructors18/100
Informational guidance based on published research, not professional career or financial advice. Scores update as new research is ingested.