Occupation baseline · Research consensus
Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Security Workers?
Baseline AI displacement risk for First-Line Supervisors of Security Workers, aggregated from 3 research sources.
What this score means
First-Line Supervisors of Security Workers leans toward the safer end for Public Sector / Government. Parts of the role touch tasks AI is getting good at, but the core still depends on hands-on work or judgment that resists automation. At 25 out of 100 it sits close to the Public Sector / Government average of 23. Across the 3 sources behind this baseline, individual estimates run from 11 to 36, so the score is a weighted consensus rather than any single figure.
The number is a consensus estimate for the typical version of the role, built from published academic and industry research scored occupation by occupation. It is not a prediction about any individual. How scoring works
What this job actually involves
Exposure follows the work itself rather than the job title, so it is worth seeing what the role is made of. These are the tasks O*NET records for First-Line Supervisors of Security Workers, most central first, showing 12 of 21.
- 01Investigate disturbances on the premises, such as security alarms, altercations, and suspicious activity.
- 02Patrol the premises to prevent or detect intrusion, protect property, or preserve order.
- 03Monitor and authorize entry of employees, visitors, or other persons.
- 04Secure entrances and exits by locking doors and gates.
- 05Write reports documenting observations made while on patrol.
- 06Monitor the behavior of security employees to ensure adherence to quality standards, deadlines, or procedures.
- 07Advise employees in handling problems or resolving complaints from customers, tenants, detainees, or other persons.
- 08Recruit, interview, and hire security personnel.
- 09Assign security personnel to posts or patrols.
- 10Call police or fire departments in cases of emergency, such as fire, bomb threats, and presence of unauthorized persons.
- 11Apprehend or evict trespassers, rule violators, or other security threats from the premises.
- 12Screen individuals and belongings to prevent passage of prohibited materials using walkthrough detectors, wands, or bag searches.
Task statements from O*NET by the National Center for O*NET Development, used under CC BY 4.0. The tasks are descriptive; the exposure score above is ours.
The research behind this score
This baseline aggregates 3 research sources that scored First-Line Supervisors of Security Workers for AI and automation exposure. More recent, higher confidence studies carry more weight in the final number.
- 01Global Automation Atlas: Task Substitution Exposure by Occupation · 2026Garg, Crosta, Baier (2026), arXiv:2605.17086
- 02Working with AI: Measuring the Applicability of Generative AI to Occupations · 2025Tomlinson, Jaffe et al., Microsoft Research (2025)
- 03GPTs are GPTs: Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs · 2024Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin, Rock (Science, 2024)
Also covers
Armed Security Supervisor · Armed Site Supervisor · Campus Safety Chief · Guard Captain · Guard Chief · Guard Supervisor · Internal Security Manager · Loss Prevention Supervisor and related titles
Estimated displacement window
The dated estimate for this role is included in the full personalised report.
Your number is not the baseline
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More public sector / government occupations
- Animal Control Workers19/100
- Bailiffs25/100
- Correctional Officers and Jailers18/100
- Crossing Guards and Flaggers21/100
- Customs and Border Protection Officers34/100
- Detectives and Criminal Investigators23/100
- Fire Inspectors and Investigators19/100
- Firefighters9/100
Informational guidance based on published research, not professional career or financial advice. Scores update as new research is ingested.