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AI Job Risk

Occupation baseline · Research consensus

Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators?

Lower risk

Baseline AI displacement risk for First-Line Supervisors of Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators, aggregated from 4 research sources.

What this score means

First-Line Supervisors of Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators leans toward the safer end for Transportation. Parts of the role touch tasks AI is getting good at, but the core still depends on hands on work or judgment that resists automation. At 29 out of 100 it scores 9 points above the Transportation average of 20. Across the 4 sources behind this baseline, individual estimates run from 5 to 52, so the score is a weighted consensus rather than any single figure.

The number is a consensus estimate for the typical version of the role, built from published academic and industry research scored occupation by occupation. It is not a prediction about any individual. How scoring works

What this job actually involves

Exposure follows the work itself rather than the job title, so it is worth seeing what the role is made of. These are the tasks O*NET records for First-Line Supervisors of Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators, most central first, showing 12 of 22.

  • 01Drive vehicles or operate machines or equipment to complete work assignments or to assist workers.
  • 02Enforce safety rules and regulations.
  • 03Interpret transportation or tariff regulations, shipping orders, safety regulations, or company policies and procedures for workers.
  • 04Resolve worker problems or collaborate with employees to assist in problem resolution.
  • 05Confer with customers, supervisors, contractors, or other personnel to exchange information or to resolve problems.
  • 06Plan work assignments and equipment allocations to meet transportation, operations or production goals.
  • 07Examine, measure, or weigh cargo or materials to determine specific handling requirements.
  • 08Explain and demonstrate work tasks to new workers or assign training tasks to experienced workers.
  • 09Review orders, production schedules, blueprints, or shipping or receiving notices to determine work sequences and material shipping dates, types, volumes, or destinations.
  • 10Inspect or test materials, stock, vehicles, equipment, or facilities to ensure that they are safe, free of defects, and consistent with specifications.
  • 11Maintain or verify records of time, materials, expenditures, or crew activities.
  • 12Requisition needed personnel, supplies, equipment, parts, or repair services.

Task statements from O*NET by the National Center for O*NET Development, used under CC BY 4.0. The tasks are descriptive; the exposure score above is ours.

The research behind this score

This baseline aggregates 4 research sources that scored First-Line Supervisors of Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators for AI and automation exposure. More recent, higher confidence studies carry more weight in the final number.

Common questions

How likely is AI to replace First-Line Supervisors of Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators?
Published research puts First-Line Supervisors of Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators at 29 out of 100 for AI displacement risk, in the lower risk band. The number is a weighted consensus of 4 research sources and describes the typical version of the role, not any individual.
Do researchers agree on the risk for First-Line Supervisors of Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators?
Only partly. Individual estimates for First-Line Supervisors of Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators run from 5 to 52 out of 100 across the 4 sources behind this score, so the single number smooths over real disagreement. More recent and higher confidence studies carry more weight in it.
Which transportation roles face similar AI exposure?
The closest published transportation roles to First-Line Supervisors of Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators by score are Railroad Conductors and Yardmasters (29/100), Stockers and Order Fillers (29/100), and Traffic Technicians (30/100). Each has its own page with the research behind its number.

Also covers

Building Materials Supervisor · Bus Dispatcher Supervisor · Bus Driver Supervisor · Cab Dispatcher Supervisor · Cab Supervisor · Car Supervisor · Cargo Manager · Cargo Supervisor and related titles

Estimated displacement window

The dated estimate for this role is included in the full personalised report.

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Informational guidance based on published research, not professional career or financial advice. Scores update as new research is ingested.