Occupation baseline · Research consensus
Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers?
Baseline AI displacement risk for First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers, aggregated from 3 research sources.
What this score means
First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers is among the least exposed roles in Public Sector / Government. Most of what the job involves still sits outside what current AI can do, even as the tools around it keep changing. At 23 out of 100 it sits close to the Public Sector / Government average of 25. Across the 3 sources behind this baseline, individual estimates run from 20 to 28, so the score is a weighted consensus rather than any single figure.
The number is a consensus estimate for the typical version of the role, built from published academic and industry research scored occupation by occupation. It is not a prediction about any individual. How scoring works
What this job actually involves
Exposure follows the work itself rather than the job title, so it is worth seeing what the role is made of. These are the tasks O*NET records for First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers, most central first, showing 12 of 23.
- 01Take, receive, or check periodic inmate counts.
- 02Maintain order, discipline, and security within assigned areas in accordance with relevant rules, regulations, policies, and laws.
- 03Maintain knowledge of, comply with, and enforce all institutional policies, rules, procedures, and regulations.
- 04Respond to emergencies, such as escapes.
- 05Supervise and direct the work of correctional officers to ensure the safe custody, discipline, and welfare of inmates.
- 06Supervise or perform searches of inmates or their quarters to locate contraband items.
- 07Monitor behavior of subordinates to ensure alert, courteous, and professional behavior toward inmates, parolees, fellow employees, visitors, and the public.
- 08Restrain, secure, or control offenders, using chemical agents, firearms, or other weapons of force as necessary.
- 09Carry injured offenders or employees to safety and provide emergency first aid when necessary.
- 10Complete administrative paperwork or supervise the preparation or maintenance of records, forms, or reports.
- 11Supervise activities, such as searches, shakedowns, riot control, or institutional tours.
- 12Conduct roll calls of correctional officers.
Task statements from O*NET by the National Center for O*NET Development, used under CC BY 4.0. The tasks are descriptive; the exposure score above is ours.
The research behind this score
This baseline aggregates 3 research sources that scored First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers for AI and automation exposure. More recent, higher confidence studies carry more weight in the final number.
- 01Anthropic Economic Index 2026 - AI Task Exposure · 2026
- 02GPTs are GPTs: Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs · 2024
- 03AI Occupational Exposure to Language Modeling · 2023
Also covers
Correction Officer Supervisor · Correction Warden · Correctional Case Records Supervisor · Correctional Officer Captain · Correctional Supervisor · Detention Director · Detention Supervisor · Guard Chief and related titles
Estimated displacement window
The dated estimate for this role is included in the full personalised report.
Your number is not the baseline
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More public sector / government occupations
- Animal Control Workers18/100
- Bailiffs25/100
- Correctional Officers and Jailers21/100
- Crossing Guards and Flaggers22/100
- Customs and Border Protection Officers31/100
- Detectives and Criminal Investigators27/100
- Fire Inspectors and Investigators28/100
- Firefighters14/100
Informational guidance based on published research, not professional career or financial advice. Scores update as new research is ingested.