Sector baseline · Research consensus
AI displacement risk in hospitality
Hospitality averages 24 out of 100 across 16 published occupations. Behind it, Hosts and Hostesses, Restaurant, Lounge, and Coffee Shop scores 42 and Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers scores 9, a 33 point spread. That is narrower than the 42 point gap between the most and least exposed sector overall, so Hospitality moves together more than most fields do.
24
Sector average, out of 100
16
Occupations scored
33
Point spread, 9 to 42
1
Occupation scoring 40 or above
How the sector splits
Of the 16, 0 occupations clear 70 and count as high risk, 1 sits between 40 and 69, and 15 fall below 40.
Exposure follows the tasks inside a role rather than the field it sits in, so two jobs that share a sector can still land far apart. The whole published set averages 31 across 961 occupations in 21 sectors. How scoring works
Every hospitality occupation, most exposed first
Rank is against the full published set, not against the sector. Every occupation here is backed by at least two distinct published studies.
| Rank | Occupation | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 241 | Hosts and Hostesses, Restaurant, Lounge, and Coffee Shop | 42 |
| 453 | First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers | 30 |
| 472 | Chefs and Head Cooks | 29 |
| 473 | Cooks, Fast Food | 29 |
| 521 | Waiters and Waitresses | 27 |
| 526 | Cooks, Restaurant | 26 |
| 529 | Fast Food and Counter Workers | 26 |
| 562 | Baristas | 24 |
| 563 | Cooks, Private Household | 24 |
| 605 | Food Preparation Workers | 22 |
| 625 | Bartenders | 21 |
| 630 | Cooks, Institution and Cafeteria | 21 |
| 631 | Cooks, Short Order | 21 |
| 637 | Food Servers, Nonrestaurant | 21 |
| 744 | Dishwashers | 17 |
| 918 | Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers | 9 |
The evidence behind these scores
Each score aggregates published academic and industry estimates for that occupation, calibrated onto a common scale before they are combined. Across hospitality, the thinnest occupation rests on 5 sources and the best evidenced on 11. Occupations backed by fewer than two distinct sources are not published at all, here or anywhere on the site.
See the dataset and its limits, or the full ranking in one table.
A sector average is not your score
Roles across hospitality already run 33 points apart, and the number above is the baseline for a typical version of each one. Seniority and how routine your day is move your own score further still. Answer a few questions and get it free, no sign-up.
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Other sectors
Every sector with at least 15 published occupations has its own baseline. Compare all of them, or browse occupations grouped by sector.
Informational guidance based on published research, not professional career or financial advice. Scores update as new research is ingested.