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AI Job Risk

Occupation baseline · Research consensus

Will AI replace Project Management Specialists?

Transitioning

Baseline AI displacement risk for Project Management Specialists, aggregated from 4 research sources.

What this score means

Project Management Specialists sits in the middle of the exposure range for Business & Operations. Routine parts of the job are starting to automate, but much of it still depends on judgment, relationships, and context that today's models handle poorly. At 42 out of 100 it scores 4 points below the Business & Operations average of 46. Across the 4 sources behind this baseline, individual estimates run from 21 to 49, so the score is a weighted consensus rather than any single figure.

The number is a consensus estimate for the typical version of the role, built from published academic and industry research scored occupation by occupation. It is not a prediction about any individual. How scoring works

What this job actually involves

Exposure follows the work itself rather than the job title, so it is worth seeing what the role is made of. These are the tasks O*NET records for Project Management Specialists, most central first, showing 12 of 20.

  • 01Assign duties or responsibilities to project personnel.
  • 02Communicate with key stakeholders to determine project requirements and objectives.
  • 03Confer with project personnel to identify and resolve problems.
  • 04Create project status presentations for delivery to customers or project personnel.
  • 05Develop or update project plans including information such as objectives, technologies, schedules, funding, and staffing.
  • 06Identify project needs such as resources, staff, or finances by reviewing project objectives and schedules.
  • 07Identify, review, or select vendors or consultants to meet project needs.
  • 08Monitor costs incurred by project staff to identify budget issues.
  • 09Monitor project milestones and deliverables.
  • 10Monitor the performance of project team members to provide performance feedback.
  • 11Negotiate with project stakeholders or suppliers to obtain resources or materials.
  • 12Plan, schedule, or coordinate project activities to meet deadlines.

Task statements from O*NET by the National Center for O*NET Development, used under CC BY 4.0. The tasks are descriptive; the exposure score above is ours.

The research behind this score

This baseline aggregates 4 research sources that scored Project Management Specialists for AI and automation exposure. More recent, higher confidence studies carry more weight in the final number.

  • 01Generative AI and Jobs: A Refined Global Index of Occupational Exposure · 2025
  • 02GPTs are GPTs: Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs · 2024
  • 03AI Occupational Exposure to Language Modeling · 2023
  • 04Generative AI and the Future of Work in America · 2023

Also covers

Agile Coach · Delivery Manager · Design Project Management Specialist · Grant Assistant · Human Resources Project Manager (HR Project Manager) · IT Project Manager · Implementation Project Manager · Implementations Management Specialist and related titles

Estimated displacement window

The dated estimate for this role is included in the full personalised report.

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Informational guidance based on published research, not professional career or financial advice. Scores update as new research is ingested.