Occupation baseline · Research consensus
Will AI replace Personal Care Aides?
Baseline AI displacement risk for Personal Care Aides, aggregated from 9 research sources.
What this score means
Personal Care Aides leans toward the safer end for Healthcare. Parts of the role touch tasks AI is getting good at, but the core still depends on hands on work or judgment that resists automation. At 27 out of 100 it scores 5 points above the Healthcare average of 22. Across the 9 sources behind this baseline, individual estimates run from 5 to 50, so the score is a weighted consensus rather than any single figure.
The number is a consensus estimate for the typical version of the role, built from published academic and industry research scored occupation by occupation. It is not a prediction about any individual. How scoring works
What this job actually involves
Exposure follows the work itself rather than the job title, so it is worth seeing what the role is made of. These are the tasks O*NET records for Personal Care Aides, most central first.
- 01Prepare and maintain records of client progress and services performed, reporting changes in client condition to manager or supervisor.
- 02Administer bedside or personal care, such as ambulation or personal hygiene assistance.
- 03Perform healthcare-related tasks, such as monitoring vital signs and medication, under the direction of registered nurses or physiotherapists.
- 04Participate in case reviews, consulting with the team caring for the client, to evaluate the client's needs and plan for continuing services.
- 05Instruct or advise clients on issues, such as household cleanliness, utilities, hygiene, nutrition, or infant care.
- 06Care for individuals or families during periods of incapacitation, family disruption, or convalescence, providing companionship, personal care, or help in adjusting to new lifestyles.
- 07Perform housekeeping duties, such as cooking, cleaning, washing clothes or dishes, or running errands.
- 08Provide clients with communication assistance, typing their correspondence or obtaining information for them.
- 09Train family members to provide bedside care.
- 10Plan, shop for, or prepare nutritious meals or assist families in planning, shopping for, or preparing nutritious meals.
- 11Transport clients to locations outside the home, such as to physicians' offices or on outings, using a motor vehicle.
Task statements from O*NET by the National Center for O*NET Development, used under CC BY 4.0. The tasks are descriptive; the exposure score above is ours.
The research behind this score
This baseline aggregates 9 research sources that scored Personal Care Aides for AI and automation exposure. More recent, higher confidence studies carry more weight in the final number.
- 01Crashing Waves vs. Rising Tides: Preliminary Findings on AI Automation from Thousands of Worker Evaluations of Labor Market Tasks · 2026Mertens, Thompson et al., MIT FutureTech (2026)
- 02Global Automation Atlas: Task Substitution Exposure by Occupation · 2026Garg, Crosta, Baier (2026), arXiv:2605.17086
- 03The AI Jobs Transition Framework: Mapping AI's Near-Term Impact on Jobs · 2026OpenAI Economic Research (2026)
- 04Generative AI and Jobs: A Refined Global Index of Occupational Exposure · 2025International Labour Organization, Working Paper 140 (2025)
- 05The Fearless Future: PwC's 2025 Global AI Jobs Barometer · 2025PwC, Global AI Jobs Barometer (2025)
- 06A new future of work: The race to deploy AI and raise skills in Europe and beyond · 2024McKinsey Global Institute (2024)
- 07GPTs are GPTs: Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs · 2024Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin, Rock (Science, 2024)
- 08AI Occupational Exposure to Language Modeling · 2023Felten, Raj, Seamans (2023)
- 09Generative AI and the Future of Work in America · 2023McKinsey Global Institute (2023)
Common questions
- How likely is AI to replace Personal Care Aides?
- Published research puts Personal Care Aides at 27 out of 100 for AI displacement risk, in the lower risk band. The number is a weighted consensus of 9 research sources and describes the typical version of the role, not any individual.
- Do researchers agree on the risk for Personal Care Aides?
- Only partly. Individual estimates for Personal Care Aides run from 5 to 50 out of 100 across the 9 sources behind this score, so the single number smooths over real disagreement. More recent and higher confidence studies carry more weight in it.
- Which healthcare roles face similar AI exposure?
- The closest published healthcare roles to Personal Care Aides by score are Acute Care Nurses (27/100), Audiologists (27/100), and Clinical Nurse Specialists (27/100). Each has its own page with the research behind its number.
Also covers
Aide · Blind Aide · Blind Escort · Care Caregiver · Care Companion · Care Provider · Caregiver · Caretaker and related titles
Estimated displacement window
The dated estimate for this role is included in the full personalised report.
Your number is not the baseline
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More healthcare occupations
- Histology Technicians28/100
- Acute Care Nurses27/100
- Audiologists27/100
- Clinical Nurse Specialists27/100
- Medical Assistants27/100
- Registered Nurses27/100
- Speech-Language Pathologists27/100
- Athletic Trainers26/100
Informational guidance based on published research, not professional career or financial advice. Scores update as new research is ingested.