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AI Job Risk

Occupation baseline · Research consensus

Will AI replace Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery, and Greenhouse?

Lower risk

Baseline AI displacement risk for Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery, and Greenhouse, aggregated from 9 research sources.

What this score means

Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery, and Greenhouse is among the least exposed roles in Agriculture. Most of what the job involves still sits outside what current AI can do, even as the tools around it keep changing. At 16 out of 100 it scores 3 points below the Agriculture average of 19. Across the 9 sources behind this baseline, individual estimates run from 5 to 43, so the score is a weighted consensus rather than any single figure.

The number is a consensus estimate for the typical version of the role, built from published academic and industry research scored occupation by occupation. It is not a prediction about any individual. How scoring works

What this job actually involves

Exposure follows the work itself rather than the job title, so it is worth seeing what the role is made of. These are the tasks O*NET records for Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery, and Greenhouse, most central first, showing 12 of 27.

  • 01Record information about crops, such as pesticide use, yields, or costs.
  • 02Direct and monitor the work of casual and seasonal help during planting and harvesting.
  • 03Participate in the inspection, grading, sorting, storage, and post-harvest treatment of crops.
  • 04Harvest plants, and transplant or pot and label them.
  • 05Repair and maintain farm vehicles, implements, and mechanical equipment.
  • 06Harvest fruits and vegetables by hand.
  • 07Set up and operate irrigation equipment.
  • 08Inform farmers or farm managers of crop progress.
  • 09Identify plants, pests, and weeds to determine the selection and application of pesticides and fertilizers.
  • 10Operate tractors, tractor-drawn machinery, and self-propelled machinery to plow, harrow and fertilize soil, or to plant, cultivate, spray and harvest crops.
  • 11Load agricultural products into trucks, and drive trucks to market or storage facilities.
  • 12Clean work areas, and maintain grounds and landscaping.

Task statements from O*NET by the National Center for O*NET Development, used under CC BY 4.0. The tasks are descriptive; the exposure score above is ours.

The research behind this score

This baseline aggregates 9 research sources that scored Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery, and Greenhouse for AI and automation exposure. More recent, higher confidence studies carry more weight in the final number.

Common questions

How likely is AI to replace Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery, and Greenhouse?
Published research puts Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery, and Greenhouse at 16 out of 100 for AI displacement risk, in the lower risk band. The number is a weighted consensus of 9 research sources and describes the typical version of the role, not any individual.
Do researchers agree on the risk for Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery, and Greenhouse?
Only partly. Individual estimates for Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery, and Greenhouse run from 5 to 43 out of 100 across the 9 sources behind this score, so the single number smooths over real disagreement. More recent and higher confidence studies carry more weight in it.
Which agriculture roles face similar AI exposure?
The closest published agriculture roles to Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery, and Greenhouse by score are Animal Breeders (16/100), Agricultural Equipment Operators (18/100), and Farmworkers, Farm, Ranch, and Aquacultural Animals (18/100). Each has its own page with the research behind its number.

Also covers

Agriculture Laborer · Agriculture Worker · Apple Picker · Apple Thinner · Apple Turner · Asparagus Cutter · Bale Sewer · Baller and related titles

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Informational guidance based on published research, not professional career or financial advice. Scores update as new research is ingested.